DingerLab — Today's MLB Home Run Picks & HR Props

Today's MLB Home Run Picks — July 4, 2026Today's top MLB home run picks, ranked daily by a data-driven model fusing Statcast, park factors, weather, pitch matchups and Vegas totals.

Ben Rice (NYY) vs Zebby Matthews — 24.6% to homer

Trent Grisham (NYY) vs Zebby Matthews — 27.2% to homer

James Wood (WSH) vs Braxton Ashcraft — 28.6% to homer

Byron Buxton (MIN) vs Brendan Beck — 24.6% to homer

Nick Kurtz (ATH) vs Sandy Alcantara — 28.1% to homer